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WAL 威爾士超級聯賽 · 比賽 ·

新聖人 vs 夏維科韋

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score2–13.08 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝75%
16%
客勝10%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 75% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝75% selection probability
Projected score2–1新聖人夏維科韋
Expected goals3.08初盤 match profile
Goals 2.559% for the selected side
雙方進球56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4小 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
75% / 16% / 10%比賽結果主勝75%1.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 夏維科韋 win (9.7%)雙重機會1X90.3%1.11
大 59% · 小 41%Goals 2.559%1.69
是 44% · 否 56%雙方進球56%1.79
3.08 total expected goals正確比分2–1
9.4 expected match corners角球小 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gap新聖人 winDifference+0.5 pp
Outcome預測公平賠率Reference oddsNormalized marketDifference
新聖人 win75%1.331.2074.5%+0.5 pp
16%6.255.7515.6%+0.4 pp
夏維科韋 win10%10.009.009.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

新聖人2.44

主隊 share of expected goals 79.2%

Total expected goals3.08初盤

Dedicated goals model: 59% · 41%

夏維科韋0.64

客隊 share of expected goals 20.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 44% · 56%Match profile初盤
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

新聖人

1.40pts / match
5Wins2Drawn1Losses2積分7

Signal主隊 clean sheets: 2/5

客隊-context · form sequence

夏維科韋

1.40pts / match
5Wins2Drawn1Losses2積分7

Signal客隊 matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
75%
贏 probability excluding draw
10%
7
Points from supplied form
7
2.44
Expected goals
0.64
新聖人夏維科韋
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01新聖人 signal主隊 clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02夏維科韋 signal客隊 matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk25% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 16%.

Match questions

新聖人 vs 夏維科韋 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 2–1 · 75% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

新聖人 75%, 16%,夏維科韋 10%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.08 · 大2.5 59% · Current selection