Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
61% / 24% / 15%Match resultHome win61%1.64
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FA Siauliai II win (15.2%)Double chance1X84.8%1.18
Over 54% · Under 46%Goals 2.5Over54%1.85
Yes 43% · No 57%Both teams scoreNo57%1.75
2.83 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
9.8 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
FK Jonava win61%1.64
Draw24%4.17
FA Siauliai II win15%6.67
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 77%
Total expected goals2.83Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 54% · Under 46%
Away share of expected goals 23%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 43% · No 57%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchFK Jonava
LLWWL
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5
Away-context · form sequence
0.80pts / matchFA Siauliai II
LDWLL
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4
SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
61%
Win probability excluding draw
15%6
Points from supplied form
42.18
Expected goals
0.65FK JonavaFA Siauliai II
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 24%.
Match questions
FK Jonava vs FA Siauliai II FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 61% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
FK Jonava win 61%，Draw 24%，FA Siauliai II win 15%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.83 · Over 2.5 54% · Current selection Over。