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LTU Lithuania 1 Lyga · Round 20 ·

ФК Йонава vs Шяуляй II

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–12.83 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев61%
Ничья24%
Победа гостей15%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 61% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев61% selection probability
Projected score2–1ФК ЙонаваШяуляй II
Expected goals2.83Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Больше54% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
61% / 24% / 15%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев61%1.64
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Шяуляй II win (15.2%)Двойной шанс1X84.8%1.18
Больше 54% · Меньше 46%Goals 2.5Больше54%1.85
Да 43% · Нет 57%Обе забьютНет57%1.75
2.83 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
9.8 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
ФК Йонава win61%1.64
Ничья24%4.17
Шяуляй II win15%6.67

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ФК Йонава2.18

Хозяева share of expected goals 77%

Total expected goals2.83Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 54% · Меньше 46%

Шяуляй II0.65

Гости share of expected goals 23%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 43% · Нет 57%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

ФК Йонава

1.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Баллы6

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Шяуляй II

0.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Баллы4

SignalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
61%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
15%
6
Points from supplied form
4
2.18
Expected goals
0.65
ФК ЙонаваШяуляй II
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ФК Йонава signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Шяуляй II signalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk39% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

ФК Йонава vs Шяуляй II FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 61% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ФК Йонава выигрыш 61%,Ничья 24%,Шяуляй II выигрыш 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.83 · ТБ 2.5 54% · Current selection Больше