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LTU Lithuania 1 Lyga · Round 20 ·

FK Jonava vs FA Šiauliai II

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domáci form
Projected score2–12.83 expected goals
Hostia form
Výhra domácich61%
Remíza24%
Výhra hostí15%
Full model forecastVýhra domácichTier A · 61% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácich61% selection probability
Projected score2–1FK JonavaFA Šiauliai II
Expected goals2.83Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Viac54% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúNie57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Viac 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
61% / 24% / 15%Výsledok zápasuVýhra domácich61%1.64
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FA Šiauliai II win (15.2%)Dvojitá šanca1X84.8%1.18
Viac 54% · Menej 46%Goals 2.5Viac54%1.85
Áno 43% · Nie 57%Oba tímy skórujúNie57%1.75
2.83 total expected goalsPresné skóre2–1
9.8 expected match cornersRohyViac 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nie snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFérový kurz
FK Jonava win61%1.64
Remíza24%4.17
FA Šiauliai II win15%6.67

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FK Jonava2.18

Domáci share of expected goals 77%

Total expected goals2.83Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Viac 54% · Menej 46%

FA Šiauliai II0.65

Hostia share of expected goals 23%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitÁno 43% · Nie 57%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

FK Jonava

1.20pts / match
Odohrané5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Body6

SignalDomáci matches over 2.5: 3/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

FA Šiauliai II

0.80pts / match
Odohrané5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Body4

SignalDomáci clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
61%
Výhra probability excluding draw
15%
6
Points from supplied form
4
2.18
Expected goals
0.65
FK JonavaFA Šiauliai II
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FK Jonava signalDomáci matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FA Šiauliai II signalDomáci clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk39% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

FK Jonava vs FA Šiauliai II FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácich · Projected score 2–1 · 61% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FK Jonava výhra 61%,Remíza 24%,FA Šiauliai II výhra 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.83 · Viac 2.5 54% · Current selection Viac