MatchFormula Find a match
Menu
UTC+8
Time zoneAsia/Shanghai
English
NIR Northern Ireland Premier · Round 1 ·

Dungannon Swifts vs Coleraine

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–23.46 expected goals
Away form
Home win18%
Draw23%
Away win59%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 59% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win59% selection probability
Projected score1–2Dungannon SwiftsColeraine
Expected goals3.46Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over67% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes57% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
18% / 23% / 59%Match resultAway win59%1.69
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Dungannon Swifts win (18.2%)Double chanceX281.8%1.22
Over 67% · Under 33%Goals 2.5Over67%1.49
Yes 57% · No 43%Both teams scoreYes57%1.75
3.46 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2
10.0 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Dungannon Swifts win18%5.56
Draw23%4.35
Coleraine win59%1.69

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Dungannon Swifts0.97

Home share of expected goals 28%

Total expected goals3.46Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 67% · Under 33%

Coleraine2.49

Away share of expected goals 72%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 57% · No 43%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Dungannon Swifts

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Coleraine

3.00pts / match
Played5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Points15

SignalHome failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
18%
Win probability excluding draw
59%
6
Points from supplied form
15
0.97
Expected goals
2.49
Dungannon SwiftsColeraine
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Dungannon Swifts signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Coleraine signalHome failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk41% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Dungannon Swifts vs Coleraine FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 59% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Dungannon Swifts win 18%,Draw 23%,Coleraine win 59%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.46 · Over 2.5 67% · Current selection Over