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NIR Irlande du Nord - Premier · Round 1 ·

Dungannon Swifts vs Coleraine

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–23.46 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile18%
Nul20%
Victoire à l’extérieur62%
Full model forecastVictoire à l’extérieurTier A · 62% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à l’extérieur62% selection probability
Projected score1–2Dungannon SwiftsColeraine
Expected goals3.46Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de67% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui57% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
18% / 20% / 62%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur62%1.61
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Dungannon Swifts win (17.7%)Double chanceX282.3%1.22
Plus de 67% · Moins de 33%Goals 2.5Plus de67%1.49
Oui 57% · Non 43%Les deux équipes marquentOui57%1.75
3.46 total expected goalsScore exact1–2
10.0 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.8%Largest probability gapColeraine winDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Dungannon Swifts win18%5.565.0018.2%-0.2 pp
Nul20%5.004.5020.2%-0.2 pp
Coleraine win62%1.611.4861.5%+0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Dungannon Swifts0.97

Domicile share of expected goals 28%

Total expected goals3.46Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 67% · Moins de 33%

Coleraine2.49

Extérieur share of expected goals 72%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitOui 57% · Non 43%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Dungannon Swifts

1.20pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Coleraine

3.00pts / match
Joués5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Points15

SignalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
18%
Gagné probability excluding draw
62%
6
Points from supplied form
15
0.97
Expected goals
2.49
Dungannon SwiftsColeraine
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Dungannon Swifts signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Coleraine signalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk38% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Dungannon Swifts vs Coleraine FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 1–2 · 62% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Dungannon Swifts victoire 18%,Nul 20%,Coleraine victoire 62%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.46 · Plus de 2.5 67% · Current selection Plus de