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NIR Irlanda de Nord - Premier · Round 1 ·

Dungannon Swifts vs Coleraine

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score1–23.46 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde18%
Egal23%
Victorie oaspeți59%
Full model forecastVictorie oaspețiTier A · 59% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie oaspeți59% selection probability
Projected score1–2Dungannon SwiftsColeraine
Expected goals3.46Deschide match profile
Goals 2.5Peste67% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa57% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Peste 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
18% / 23% / 59%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie oaspeți59%1.69
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Dungannon Swifts win (18.2%)Șansă dublăX281.8%1.22
Peste 67% · Sub 33%Goals 2.5Peste67%1.49
Da 57% · Nu 43%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa57%1.75
3.46 total expected goalsScor corect1–2
10.0 expected match cornersCornerePeste 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nu snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCotă corectă
Dungannon Swifts win18%5.56
Egal23%4.35
Coleraine win59%1.69

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Dungannon Swifts0.97

Gazde share of expected goals 28%

Total expected goals3.46Deschide

Dedicated goals model: Peste 67% · Sub 33%

Coleraine2.49

Oaspeți share of expected goals 72%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitDa 57% · Nu 43%Match profileDeschide
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Dungannon Swifts

1.20pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Puncte6

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 4/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Coleraine

3.00pts / match
Jucate5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Puncte15

SignalGazde failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
18%
Câștig probability excluding draw
59%
6
Points from supplied form
15
0.97
Expected goals
2.49
Dungannon SwiftsColeraine
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Dungannon Swifts signalGazde matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Coleraine signalGazde failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk41% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Dungannon Swifts vs Coleraine FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie oaspeți · Projected score 1–2 · 59% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Dungannon Swifts câștig 18%,Egal 23%,Coleraine câștig 59%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.46 · Peste 2.5 67% · Current selection Peste