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SCO Scotland League Two · Round 1 ·

Dumbarton vs Clyde

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–22.82 expected goals
Away form
Home win26%
Draw27%
Away win47%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win47% selection probability
Projected score1–2DumbartonClyde
Expected goals2.82Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over54% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes55% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
26% / 27% / 47%Match resultAway win47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Dumbarton win (25.9%)Double chanceX274.1%1.35
Over 54% · Under 46%Goals 2.5Over54%1.85
Yes 55% · No 45%Both teams scoreYes55%1.82
2.82 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2
10.2 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Dumbarton win26%3.85
Draw27%3.70
Clyde win47%2.13

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Dumbarton1.06

Home share of expected goals 37.6%

Total expected goals2.82Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 54% · Under 46%

Clyde1.76

Away share of expected goals 62.4%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 55% · No 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Dumbarton

0.60pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Clyde

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalHome failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
26%
Win probability excluding draw
47%
3
Points from supplied form
9
1.06
Expected goals
1.76
DumbartonClyde
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Dumbarton signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Clyde signalHome failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Dumbarton vs Clyde FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Dumbarton win 26%,Draw 27%,Clyde win 47%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.82 · Over 2.5 54% · Current selection Over