What is the Charleroi vs KV Mechelen prediction?

The prediction is Home win, with a projected score of 2–1 and a selected-call probability of 56%.

What are the Charleroi vs KV Mechelen 1X2 probabilities?

Charleroi win 56%, draw 25%, and KV Mechelen win 19%.

How many goals are expected in Charleroi vs KV Mechelen?

The displayed projection is 2.64 total expected goals, with Over 2.5 at 49%.

MatchFormula Find a match

UTC+8

BEL Belgium First Division A · Final · Sun, Aug 23, 00:15

Charleroi vs KV Mechelen

Prediction review

Home form

Final score2–0Forecast 2–1

Away form

Home win56%

Draw25%

Away win19%

Full model forecastHome winTier A · 56% selection probability

Prediction WonAug 23, 2026, 02:21

Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win56% selection probability

Projected score2–1Charleroi — KV Mechelen

Expected goals2.64Balanced match profile

Goals 2.5Under51% for the selected side

Both teams scoreYes52% for the selected side

Expected corners10.1Over 9.5

Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds

56% / 25% / 19%Match resultHome win56%1.79

Derived from 1X2 · excludes KV Mechelen win (18.9%)Double chance1X81.1%1.23

Over 49% · Under 51%Goals 2.5Under51%1.96

Yes 52% · No 48%Both teams scoreYes52%1.92

2.64 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——

10.1 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——

Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.4%Largest probability gapCharleroi winDifference-0.9 pp

OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference

Charleroi win56%1.791.6256.9%-0.9 pp

Draw25%4.003.7524.6%+0.4 pp

KV Mechelen win19%5.265.0018.5%+0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Charleroi1.58

Home share of expected goals 59.8%

Total expected goals2.64Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 49% · Under 51%

KV Mechelen1.06

Away share of expected goals 40.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 52% · No 48%Match profileBalanced

Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Charleroi

1.40pts / match

Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

KV Mechelen

0.80pts / match

Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalAway failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook

56%

Win probability excluding draw

19%

Points from supplied form

1.58

Expected goals

1.06

CharleroiKV Mechelen

Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Charleroi signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02KV Mechelen signalAway failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 25%.

Match questions