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BEL Белгия - Първа Дивизия А · Final ·

Шарлероа vs Мехелен

Prediction review

Домакин form
Final score2–0Прогноза 2–1
Гост form
Победа за домакина56%
Равен25%
Победа за госта19%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 56% selection probability
Prediction Познат
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина56% selection probability
Projected score2–1ШарлероаМехелен
Expected goals2.64Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Под51% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа52% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Над 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
56% / 25% / 19%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Мехелен win (18.9%)Двоен шанс1X81.1%1.23
Над 49% · Под 51%Goals 2.5Под51%1.96
Да 52% · Не 48%И двата отбора да отбележатДа52%1.92
2.64 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–1
10.1 expected match cornersКорнериНад 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.4%Largest probability gapШарлероа winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Шарлероа win56%1.791.6256.9%-0.9 pp
Равен25%4.003.7524.6%+0.4 pp
Мехелен win19%5.265.0018.5%+0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Шарлероа1.58

Домакин share of expected goals 59.8%

Total expected goals2.64Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 49% · Под 51%

Мехелен1.06

Гост share of expected goals 40.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 52% · Не 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Шарлероа

1.40pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Точки7

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Мехелен

0.80pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Точки4

SignalГост failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
19%
7
Points from supplied form
4
1.58
Expected goals
1.06
ШарлероаМехелен
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Шарлероа signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Мехелен signalГост failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Шарлероа vs Мехелен FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Шарлероа печеливш 56%,Равен 25%,Мехелен печеливш 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.64 · Над 2.5 49% · Current selection Под