Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
56% / 25% / 19%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes KV Mechelen win (18.9%)Dubbele Kans1X81.1%1.23
Boven 49% · Onder 51%Goals 2.5Onder51%1.96
Ja 52% · Nee 48%Beide teams scorenJa52%1.92
2.64 total expected goalsExacte score2–1——
10.1 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin8.4%Largest probability gapCharleroi winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Charleroi win56%1.791.6256.9%-0.9 pp
Gelijkspel25%4.003.7524.6%+0.4 pp
KV Mechelen win19%5.265.0018.5%+0.5 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Thuis share of expected goals 59.8%
Total expected goals2.64Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Boven 49% · Onder 51%
Uit share of expected goals 40.2%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 52% · Nee 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Thuis-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchCharleroi
WWLDL
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7
SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5
Uit-context · form sequence
0.80pts / matchKV Mechelen
DLLWL
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punten4
SignalUit failed to score: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
56%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
19%7
Points from supplied form
41.58
Expected goals
1.06CharleroiKV Mechelen
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 25%.
Match questions
Charleroi vs KV Mechelen FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Charleroi gewonnen 56%，Gelijkspel 25%，KV Mechelen gewonnen 19%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.64 · Boven 2.5 49% · Current selection Onder。