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BEL Bélgica - 1ª División A · Final ·

Charleroi vs KV Mechelen

Prediction review

Local form
Final score2–0Pronóstico 2–1
Visitante form
Victoria local56%
Empate25%
Victoria visitante19%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 56% selection probability
Prediction Acertado
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local56% selection probability
Projected score2–1CharleroiKV Mechelen
Expected goals2.64Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de51% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan52% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Más de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
56% / 25% / 19%Resultado del partidoVictoria local56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes KV Mechelen win (18.9%)Doble Oportunidad1X81.1%1.23
Más de 49% · Menos de 51%Goals 2.5Menos de51%1.96
Sí 52% · No 48%Ambos equipos marcan52%1.92
2.64 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–1
10.1 expected match cornersCórnersMás de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.4%Largest probability gapCharleroi winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Charleroi win56%1.791.6256.9%-0.9 pp
Empate25%4.003.7524.6%+0.4 pp
KV Mechelen win19%5.265.0018.5%+0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Charleroi1.58

Local share of expected goals 59.8%

Total expected goals2.64Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 49% · Menos de 51%

KV Mechelen1.06

Visitante share of expected goals 40.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 52% · No 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Charleroi

1.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puntos7

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

KV Mechelen

0.80pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puntos4

SignalVisitante failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Ganado probability excluding draw
19%
7
Points from supplied form
4
1.58
Expected goals
1.06
CharleroiKV Mechelen
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Charleroi signalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02KV Mechelen signalVisitante failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Charleroi vs KV Mechelen FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Charleroi ganada 56%,Empate 25%,KV Mechelen ganada 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.64 · Más de 2.5 49% · Current selection Menos de