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BEL Belgium First Division A · Final ·

Antwerp vs Genk

Prediction review

Home form
Final score4–4Forecast 1–1
Away form
Home win30%
Draw26%
Away win44%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 44% selection probability
Prediction Lost
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win44% selection probability
Projected score1–1AntwerpGenk
Expected goals2.44Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under56% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes50% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
30% / 26% / 44%Match resultAway win44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.8%)Double chance1274.2%1.35
Over 44% · Under 56%Goals 2.5Under56%1.79
Yes 50% · No 50%Both teams scoreYes50%2.00
2.44 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
9.9 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.8%Largest probability gapGenk winDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Antwerp win30%3.333.1029.6%+0.4 pp
Draw26%3.853.6025.5%+0.5 pp
Genk win44%2.272.0544.8%-0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Antwerp1.19

Home share of expected goals 48.8%

Total expected goals2.44Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 44% · Under 56%

Genk1.25

Away share of expected goals 51.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 50% · No 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Antwerp

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalHome won 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Genk

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
30%
Win probability excluding draw
44%
9
Points from supplied form
7
1.19
Expected goals
1.25
AntwerpGenk
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Antwerp signalHome won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Genk signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Antwerp vs Genk FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Antwerp win 30%,Draw 26%,Genk win 44%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.44 · Over 2.5 44% · Current selection Under