Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
75% / 16% / 9%Match resultHome win75%1.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Brisbane Roar NPL win (9.2%)Double chance1X90.8%1.10
Over 70% · Under 30%Goals 2.5Over70%1.43
Yes 48% · No 52%Both teams scoreNo52%1.92
3.61 total expected goalsCorrect score3–1——
10.1 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin9.9%Largest probability gapBrisbane Roar NPL winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Lions FC win75%1.331.2274.6%+0.4 pp
Draw16%6.255.7515.8%+0.2 pp
Brisbane Roar NPL win9%11.119.509.6%-0.6 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 80.9%
Total expected goals3.61Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 70% · Under 30%
Away share of expected goals 19.1%
Projected score3–1BTTS splitYes 48% · No 52%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
2.00pts / matchLions FC
WDWWL
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10
SignalHome unbeaten 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchBrisbane Roar NPL
WLWDL
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7
SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
75%
Win probability excluding draw
9%10
Points from supplied form
72.92
Expected goals
0.69Lions FCBrisbane Roar NPL
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 16%.
Match questions
Lions FC vs Brisbane Roar NPL FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 3–1 · 75% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Lions FC win 75%，Draw 16%，Brisbane Roar NPL win 9%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.61 · Over 2.5 70% · Current selection Over。