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INT Australia NPL Queensland · Final ·

Lions FC vs Brisbane Roar NPL

Prediction review

Hjemme form
Final score4–2Prognose 3–1
Borte form
Hjemmeseier75%
Uavgjort16%
Borteseier9%
Full model forecastHjemmeseierTier A · 75% selection probability
Prediction Vunnet
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier75% selection probability
Projected score3–1Lions FCBrisbane Roar NPL
Expected goals3.61Åpning match profile
Goals 2.5Over70% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerNei52% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
75% / 16% / 9%KampresultatHjemmeseier75%1.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Brisbane Roar NPL win (9.2%)Dobbel sjanse1X90.8%1.10
Over 70% · Under 30%Goals 2.5Over70%1.43
Ja 48% · Nei 52%Begge lag scorerNei52%1.92
3.61 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat3–1
10.1 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.9%Largest probability gapBrisbane Roar NPL winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomePrognoseRettferdig oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Lions FC win75%1.331.2274.6%+0.4 pp
Uavgjort16%6.255.7515.8%+0.2 pp
Brisbane Roar NPL win9%11.119.509.6%-0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Lions FC2.92

Hjemme share of expected goals 80.9%

Total expected goals3.61Åpning

Dedicated goals model: Over 70% · Under 30%

Brisbane Roar NPL0.69

Borte share of expected goals 19.1%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitJa 48% · Nei 52%Match profileÅpning
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Lions FC

2.00pts / match
Spilt5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Poeng10

SignalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

Borte-context · form sequence

Brisbane Roar NPL

1.40pts / match
Spilt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Poeng7

SignalHjemme matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
75%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
9%
10
Points from supplied form
7
2.92
Expected goals
0.69
Lions FCBrisbane Roar NPL
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Lions FC signalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Brisbane Roar NPL signalHjemme matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk25% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 16%.

Match questions

Lions FC vs Brisbane Roar NPL FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 3–1 · 75% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Lions FC vunnet 75%,Uavgjort 16%,Brisbane Roar NPL vunnet 9%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.61 · Over 2.5 70% · Current selection Over