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INT Australien - NPL Queensland · Final ·

Lions FC vs Brisbane Roar NPL

Prediction review

Heim form
Final score4–2Prognose 3–1
Auswärts form
Heimsieg75%
Unentschieden16%
Auswärtssieg9%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 75% selection probability
Prediction Gewonnen
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg75% selection probability
Projected score3–1Lions FCBrisbane Roar NPL
Expected goals3.61Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über70% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein52% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
75% / 16% / 9%SpielergebnisHeimsieg75%1.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Brisbane Roar NPL win (9.2%)Doppelte Chance1X90.8%1.10
Über 70% · Unter 30%Goals 2.5Über70%1.43
Ja 48% · Nein 52%Beide Teams treffenNein52%1.92
3.61 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis3–1
10.1 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.9%Largest probability gapBrisbane Roar NPL winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Lions FC win75%1.331.2274.6%+0.4 pp
Unentschieden16%6.255.7515.8%+0.2 pp
Brisbane Roar NPL win9%11.119.509.6%-0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Lions FC2.92

Heim share of expected goals 80.9%

Total expected goals3.61Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 70% · Unter 30%

Brisbane Roar NPL0.69

Auswärts share of expected goals 19.1%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitJa 48% · Nein 52%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Lions FC

2.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punkte10

SignalHeim unbeaten 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Brisbane Roar NPL

1.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkte7

SignalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
75%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
9%
10
Points from supplied form
7
2.92
Expected goals
0.69
Lions FCBrisbane Roar NPL
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Lions FC signalHeim unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Brisbane Roar NPL signalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk25% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 16%.

Match questions

Lions FC vs Brisbane Roar NPL FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 3–1 · 75% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Lions FC Gewinn 75%,Unentschieden 16%,Brisbane Roar NPL Gewinn 9%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.61 · Über 2.5 70% · Current selection Über