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INT Australia - NPL Queensland · Final ·

Lions FC vs Brisbane Roar NPL

Prediction review

Casa form
Final score4–2Pronostico 3–1
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa75%
Pareggio16%
Vittoria ospite9%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 75% selection probability
Prediction Vinto
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa75% selection probability
Projected score3–1Lions FCBrisbane Roar NPL
Expected goals3.61Apertura match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra70% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo52% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
75% / 16% / 9%Esito partitaVittoria casa75%1.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Brisbane Roar NPL win (9.2%)Doppia Chance1X90.8%1.10
Sopra 70% · Sotto 30%Goals 2.5Sopra70%1.43
Sì 48% · No 52%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo52%1.92
3.61 total expected goalsRisultato esatto3–1
10.1 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.9%Largest probability gapBrisbane Roar NPL winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Lions FC win75%1.331.2274.6%+0.4 pp
Pareggio16%6.255.7515.8%+0.2 pp
Brisbane Roar NPL win9%11.119.509.6%-0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Lions FC2.92

Casa share of expected goals 80.9%

Total expected goals3.61Apertura

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 70% · Sotto 30%

Brisbane Roar NPL0.69

Trasferta share of expected goals 19.1%

Projected score3–1BTTS split 48% · No 52%Match profileApertura
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Lions FC

2.00pts / match
Giocate5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punti10

SignalCasa unbeaten 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Brisbane Roar NPL

1.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punti7

SignalCasa matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
75%
Vinta probability excluding draw
9%
10
Points from supplied form
7
2.92
Expected goals
0.69
Lions FCBrisbane Roar NPL
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Lions FC signalCasa unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Brisbane Roar NPL signalCasa matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk25% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 16%.

Match questions

Lions FC vs Brisbane Roar NPL FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 3–1 · 75% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Lions FC vinta 75%,Pareggio 16%,Brisbane Roar NPL vinta 9%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.61 · Sopra 2.5 70% · Current selection Sopra