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INT Australia - NPL Queensland · Partita ·

Brisbane Olympic FC vs Moreton City Excelsior

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score2–24.04 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa23%
Pareggio21%
Vittoria ospite56%
Full model forecastVittoria ospiteTier A · 56% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria ospite56% selection probability
Projected score2–2Brisbane Olympic FCMoreton City Excelsior
Expected goals4.04Apertura match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra77% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano73% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
23% / 21% / 56%Esito partitaVittoria ospite56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (20.6%)Doppia Chance1279.4%1.26
Sopra 77% · Sotto 23%Goals 2.5Sopra77%1.30
Sì 73% · No 27%Entrambe le squadre segnano73%1.37
4.04 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–2
9.8 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.2%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.2 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Brisbane Olympic FC win23%4.353.9023.1%-0.1 pp
Pareggio21%4.764.3320.8%+0.2 pp
Moreton City Excelsior win56%1.791.6056.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Brisbane Olympic FC1.56

Casa share of expected goals 38.6%

Total expected goals4.04Apertura

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 77% · Sotto 23%

Moreton City Excelsior2.48

Trasferta share of expected goals 61.4%

Projected score2–2BTTS split 73% · No 27%Match profileApertura
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Brisbane Olympic FC

1.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punti9

SignalCasa won 3/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Moreton City Excelsior

1.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punti7

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
23%
Vinta probability excluding draw
56%
9
Points from supplied form
7
1.56
Expected goals
2.48
Brisbane Olympic FCMoreton City Excelsior
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Brisbane Olympic FC signalCasa won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Moreton City Excelsior signalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Brisbane Olympic FC vs Moreton City Excelsior FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria ospite · Projected score 2–2 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Brisbane Olympic FC vinta 23%,Pareggio 21%,Moreton City Excelsior vinta 56%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.04 · Sopra 2.5 77% · Current selection Sopra