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INT Australia NPL Queensland · Fixture ·

Brisbane Olympic FC vs Moreton City Excelsior

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–24.04 expected goals
Away form
Home win23%
Draw21%
Away win56%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 56% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win56% selection probability
Projected score2–2Brisbane Olympic FCMoreton City Excelsior
Expected goals4.04Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over77% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes73% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
23% / 21% / 56%Match resultAway win56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (20.6%)Double chance1279.4%1.26
Over 77% · Under 23%Goals 2.5Over77%1.30
Yes 73% · No 27%Both teams scoreYes73%1.37
4.04 total expected goalsCorrect score2–2
9.8 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.2%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.2 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Brisbane Olympic FC win23%4.353.9023.1%-0.1 pp
Draw21%4.764.3320.8%+0.2 pp
Moreton City Excelsior win56%1.791.6056.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Brisbane Olympic FC1.56

Home share of expected goals 38.6%

Total expected goals4.04Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 77% · Under 23%

Moreton City Excelsior2.48

Away share of expected goals 61.4%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitYes 73% · No 27%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Brisbane Olympic FC

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalHome won 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Moreton City Excelsior

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
23%
Win probability excluding draw
56%
9
Points from supplied form
7
1.56
Expected goals
2.48
Brisbane Olympic FCMoreton City Excelsior
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Brisbane Olympic FC signalHome won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Moreton City Excelsior signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Brisbane Olympic FC vs Moreton City Excelsior FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 2–2 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Brisbane Olympic FC win 23%,Draw 21%,Moreton City Excelsior win 56%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.04 · Over 2.5 77% · Current selection Over