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INT Australia NPL Queensland · Match ·

Lions FC vs Brisbane Roar NPL

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score3–13.61 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile75%
Nul16%
Victoire à l’extérieur9%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 75% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile75% selection probability
Projected score3–1Lions FCBrisbane Roar NPL
Expected goals3.61Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de70% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon52% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
75% / 16% / 9%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile75%1.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Brisbane Roar NPL win (9.2%)Double chance1X90.8%1.10
Plus de 70% · Moins de 30%Goals 2.5Plus de70%1.43
Oui 48% · Non 52%Les deux équipes marquentNon52%1.92
3.61 total expected goalsScore exact3–1
10.1 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.9%Largest probability gapBrisbane Roar NPL winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Lions FC win75%1.331.2274.6%+0.4 pp
Nul16%6.255.7515.8%+0.2 pp
Brisbane Roar NPL win9%11.119.509.6%-0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Lions FC2.92

Domicile share of expected goals 80.9%

Total expected goals3.61Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 70% · Moins de 30%

Brisbane Roar NPL0.69

Extérieur share of expected goals 19.1%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitOui 48% · Non 52%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Lions FC

2.00pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Brisbane Roar NPL

1.40pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalDomicile matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
75%
Gagné probability excluding draw
9%
10
Points from supplied form
7
2.92
Expected goals
0.69
Lions FCBrisbane Roar NPL
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Lions FC signalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Brisbane Roar NPL signalDomicile matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk25% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 16%.

Match questions

Lions FC vs Brisbane Roar NPL FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 3–1 · 75% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Lions FC victoire 75%,Nul 16%,Brisbane Roar NPL victoire 9%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.61 · Plus de 2.5 70% · Current selection Plus de