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INT Australia NPL Victoria Women · Fixture ·

Bulleen Lions (W) vs Box Hill (W)

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–23.36 expected goals
Away form
Home win38%
Draw24%
Away win38%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win38% selection probability
Projected score2–2Bulleen Lions (W)Box Hill (W)
Expected goals3.36Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over65% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes66% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
38% / 24% / 38%Match resultAway win38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.3%)Double chance1275.7%1.32
Over 65% · Under 35%Goals 2.5Over65%1.54
Yes 66% · No 34%Both teams scoreYes66%1.52
3.36 total expected goalsCorrect score2–2
8.5 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.7%Largest probability gapBulleen Lions (W) winDifference+0.4 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Bulleen Lions (W) win38%2.632.4037.6%+0.4 pp
Draw24%4.173.7024.4%-0.4 pp
Box Hill (W) win38%2.632.3838%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Bulleen Lions (W)1.73

Home share of expected goals 51.5%

Total expected goals3.36Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 65% · Under 35%

Box Hill (W)1.63

Away share of expected goals 48.5%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitYes 66% · No 34%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Bulleen Lions (W)

2.20pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Points11

SignalHome unbeaten 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

Box Hill (W)

2.60pts / match
Played5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Points13

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Win probability excluding draw
38%
11
Points from supplied form
13
1.73
Expected goals
1.63
Bulleen Lions (W)Box Hill (W)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Bulleen Lions (W) signalHome unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Box Hill (W) signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Bulleen Lions (W) vs Box Hill (W) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 2–2 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Bulleen Lions (W) win 38%,Draw 24%,Box Hill (W) win 38%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.36 · Over 2.5 65% · Current selection Over