Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
55% / 23% / 22%Match resultHome win55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Spring Hills FC (W) win (22.2%)Double chance1X77.8%1.29
Over 57% · Under 43%Goals 2.5Over57%1.75
Yes 59% · No 41%Both teams scoreYes59%1.69
2.97 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
8.6 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapMelbourne Victory NPL (W) winDifference-0.2 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Melbourne Victory NPL (W) win55%1.821.6255.2%-0.2 pp
Draw23%4.353.9022.9%+0.1 pp
Spring Hills FC (W) win22%4.554.1021.8%+0.2 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 57.9%
Total expected goals2.97Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 57% · Under 43%
Away share of expected goals 42.1%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 59% · No 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
0.60pts / matchMelbourne Victory NPL (W)
WLLLL
Played5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchSpring Hills FC (W)
LLLWW
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6
SignalAway matches under 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
55%
Win probability excluding draw
22%3
Points from supplied form
61.72
Expected goals
1.25Melbourne Victory NPL (W)Spring Hills FC (W)
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 23%.
Match questions
Melbourne Victory NPL (W) vs Spring Hills FC (W) FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Melbourne Victory NPL (W) win 55%，Draw 23%，Spring Hills FC (W) win 22%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.97 · Over 2.5 57% · Current selection Over。