Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
73% / 16% / 11%Match resultHome win73%1.37
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Tauranga City AFC win (11.3%)Double chance1X88.7%1.13
Over 67% · Under 33%Goals 2.5Over67%1.49
Yes 44% · No 56%Both teams scoreNo56%1.79
3.44 total expected goalsCorrect score3–1——
10.8 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapAuckland United FC winDifference+1.3 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Auckland United FC win73%1.371.2571.7%+1.3 pp
Draw16%6.255.5016.3%-0.3 pp
Tauranga City AFC win11%9.097.5012%-1.0 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 82%
Total expected goals3.44Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 67% · Under 33%
Away share of expected goals 18%
Projected score3–1BTTS splitYes 44% · No 56%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
2.00pts / matchAuckland United FC
WDLWW
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10
SignalHome unbeaten 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
0.00pts / matchTauranga City AFC
LLLLL
Played5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Points0
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
73%
Win probability excluding draw
11%10
Points from supplied form
02.82
Expected goals
0.62Auckland United FCTauranga City AFC
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 16%.
Match questions
Auckland United FC vs Tauranga City AFC FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 3–1 · 73% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Auckland United FC win 73%，Draw 16%，Tauranga City AFC win 11%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.44 · Over 2.5 67% · Current selection Over。