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INT New Zealand Northern League · Trận đấu ·

Auckland United FC vs Tauranga City AFC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Chủ nhà form
Projected score3–13.44 expected goals
Khách form
Chủ nhà thắng73%
Hòa16%
Đội khách thắng11%
Full model forecastChủ nhà thắngTier A · 73% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callChủ nhà thắng73% selection probability
Projected score3–1Auckland United FCTauranga City AFC
Expected goals3.44Mở match profile
Goals 2.5Tài67% for the selected side
Cả hai đội ghi bànKhông56% for the selected side
Expected corners10.8Tài 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketLựa chọnXác suấtTỷ lệ công bằng
73% / 16% / 11%Kết quả trận đấuChủ nhà thắng73%1.37
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Tauranga City AFC win (11.3%)Cơ hội kép1X88.7%1.13
Tài 67% · Xỉu 33%Goals 2.5Tài67%1.49
Có 44% · Không 56%Cả hai đội ghi bànKhông56%1.79
3.44 total expected goalsTỷ số chính xác3–1
10.8 expected match cornersPhạt gócTài 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapAuckland United FC winDifference+1.3 pp
OutcomeDự đoánTỷ lệ công bằngReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Auckland United FC win73%1.371.2571.7%+1.3 pp
Hòa16%6.255.5016.3%-0.3 pp
Tauranga City AFC win11%9.097.5012%-1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Auckland United FC2.82

Chủ nhà share of expected goals 82%

Total expected goals3.44Mở

Dedicated goals model: Tài 67% · Xỉu 33%

Tauranga City AFC0.62

Khách share of expected goals 18%

Projected score3–1BTTS split 44% · Không 56%Match profileMở
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Chủ nhà-context · form sequence

Auckland United FC

2.00pts / match
Số trận5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Điểm10

SignalChủ nhà unbeaten 4/5

Khách-context · form sequence

Tauranga City AFC

0.00pts / match
Số trận5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Điểm0

SignalChủ nhà matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
73%
Thắng probability excluding draw
11%
10
Points from supplied form
0
2.82
Expected goals
0.62
Auckland United FCTauranga City AFC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Auckland United FC signalChủ nhà unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Tauranga City AFC signalChủ nhà matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk27% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Hòa probability alone is 16%.

Match questions

Auckland United FC vs Tauranga City AFC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Chủ nhà thắng · Projected score 3–1 · 73% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Auckland United FC thắng 73%,Hòa 16%,Tauranga City AFC thắng 11%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.44 · Tài 2.5 67% · Current selection Tài