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INT Nueva Zelanda - Nothern League · Partido ·

Auckland United FC vs Tauranga City AFC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score3–13.44 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local73%
Empate16%
Victoria visitante11%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 73% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local73% selection probability
Projected score3–1Auckland United FCTauranga City AFC
Expected goals3.44Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Más de67% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo56% for the selected side
Expected corners10.8Más de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
73% / 16% / 11%Resultado del partidoVictoria local73%1.37
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Tauranga City AFC win (11.3%)Doble Oportunidad1X88.7%1.13
Más de 67% · Menos de 33%Goals 2.5Más de67%1.49
Sí 44% · No 56%Ambos equipos marcanNo56%1.79
3.44 total expected goalsMarcador exacto3–1
10.8 expected match cornersCórnersMás de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapAuckland United FC winDifference+1.3 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Auckland United FC win73%1.371.2571.7%+1.3 pp
Empate16%6.255.5016.3%-0.3 pp
Tauranga City AFC win11%9.097.5012%-1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Auckland United FC2.82

Local share of expected goals 82%

Total expected goals3.44Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Más de 67% · Menos de 33%

Tauranga City AFC0.62

Visitante share of expected goals 18%

Projected score3–1BTTS split 44% · No 56%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Auckland United FC

2.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puntos10

SignalLocal unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Tauranga City AFC

0.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Puntos0

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
73%
Ganado probability excluding draw
11%
10
Points from supplied form
0
2.82
Expected goals
0.62
Auckland United FCTauranga City AFC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Auckland United FC signalLocal unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Tauranga City AFC signalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk27% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 16%.

Match questions

Auckland United FC vs Tauranga City AFC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 3–1 · 73% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Auckland United FC ganada 73%,Empate 16%,Tauranga City AFC ganada 11%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.44 · Más de 2.5 67% · Current selection Más de