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ARM Armenia Premier League · Final ·

Ararat Yerevan vs Sardarapat FC

Prediction review

Home form
Final score1–2Forecast 1–1
Away form
Home win33%
Draw27%
Away win40%
Market-based forecastAway winTier B · 40% selection probability
Prediction Won
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win40% selection probability
Projected score1–1Ararat YerevanSardarapat FC
Expected goals2.58Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under52% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes53% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
33% / 27% / 40%Match resultAway win40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.4%)Double chance1272.6%1.38
Over 48% · Under 52%Goals 2.5Under52%1.92
Yes 53% · No 47%Both teams scoreYes53%1.89
2.58 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
8.5 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin10.2%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ararat Yerevan win33%3.032.9031.3%
Draw27%3.703.3027.5%
Sardarapat FC win40%2.502.2041.2%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ararat Yerevan1.28

Home share of expected goals 49.6%

Total expected goals2.58Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 48% · Under 52%

Sardarapat FC1.30

Away share of expected goals 50.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 53% · No 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Ararat Yerevan

0.60pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Sardarapat FC

3.00pts / match
Played1Wins1Drawn0Losses0Points3

SignalHome failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
33%
Win probability excluding draw
40%
3
Points from supplied form
3
1.28
Expected goals
1.30
Ararat YerevanSardarapat FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ararat Yerevan signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sardarapat FC signalHome failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Ararat Yerevan vs Sardarapat FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ararat Yerevan win 33%,Draw 27%,Sardarapat FC win 40%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.58 · Over 2.5 48% · Current selection Under