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ARM Armenia Premier League · Fixture ·

Pyunik Yerevan vs FC Van

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.90 expected goals
Away form
Home win74%
Draw17%
Away win9%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 74% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win74% selection probability
Projected score2–1Pyunik YerevanFC Van
Expected goals2.90Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over55% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo59% for the selected side
Expected corners8.2Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
74% / 17% / 9%Match resultHome win74%1.35
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FC Van win (8.9%)Double chance1X91.1%1.10
Over 55% · Under 45%Goals 2.5Over55%1.82
Yes 41% · No 59%Both teams scoreNo59%1.69
2.90 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
8.2 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.0%Largest probability gapPyunik Yerevan winDifference+0.2 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Pyunik Yerevan win74%1.351.2273.8%+0.2 pp
Draw17%5.885.2517.2%-0.2 pp
FC Van win9%11.1110.009%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Pyunik Yerevan2.30

Home share of expected goals 79.3%

Total expected goals2.90Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 55% · Under 45%

FC Van0.60

Away share of expected goals 20.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 41% · No 59%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Pyunik Yerevan

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Points6

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

FC Van

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
74%
Win probability excluding draw
9%
6
Points from supplied form
4
2.30
Expected goals
0.60
Pyunik YerevanFC Van
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Pyunik Yerevan signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Van signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk26% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 17%.

Match questions

Pyunik Yerevan vs FC Van FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 74% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Pyunik Yerevan win 74%,Draw 17%,FC Van win 9%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.90 · Over 2.5 55% · Current selection Over