MatchFormula Find a match
Menu
UTC+8
Time zoneAsia/Shanghai
English
ARM Armenia Premier League · Round 2 ·

Shirak vs Noah

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score0–22.66 expected goals
Away form
Home win13%
Draw18%
Away win69%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 69% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win69% selection probability
Projected score0–2ShirakNoah
Expected goals2.66Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under50% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo66% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
13% / 18% / 69%Match resultAway win69%1.45
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Shirak win (12.9%)Double chanceX287.1%1.15
Over 50% · Under 50%Goals 2.5Under50%2.00
Yes 34% · No 66%Both teams scoreNo66%1.52
2.66 total expected goalsCorrect score0–2
9.1 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.3%Largest probability gapShirak winDifference-0.7 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Shirak win13%7.696.5013.7%-0.7 pp
Draw18%5.565.0017.8%+0.2 pp
Noah win69%1.451.3068.5%+0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Shirak0.48

Home share of expected goals 18%

Total expected goals2.66Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 50% · Under 50%

Noah2.18

Away share of expected goals 82%

Projected score0–2BTTS splitYes 34% · No 66%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Shirak

0.40pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Points2

SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Noah

2.20pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Points11

SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
13%
Win probability excluding draw
69%
2
Points from supplied form
11
0.48
Expected goals
2.18
ShirakNoah
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Shirak signalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Noah signalHome clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk31% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 18%.

Match questions

Shirak vs Noah FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 0–2 · 69% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Shirak win 13%,Draw 18%,Noah win 69%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.66 · Over 2.5 50% · Current selection Under