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ARM Armenia Premier League · Round 2 ·

Shirak vs Noah

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score0–22.66 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg13%
Unentschieden18%
Auswärtssieg69%
Full model forecastAuswärtssiegTier A · 69% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAuswärtssieg69% selection probability
Projected score0–2ShirakNoah
Expected goals2.66Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Unter50% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein66% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
13% / 18% / 69%SpielergebnisAuswärtssieg69%1.45
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Shirak win (12.9%)Doppelte ChanceX287.1%1.15
Über 50% · Unter 50%Goals 2.5Unter50%2.00
Ja 34% · Nein 66%Beide Teams treffenNein66%1.52
2.66 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis0–2
9.1 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.3%Largest probability gapShirak winDifference-0.7 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Shirak win13%7.696.5013.7%-0.7 pp
Unentschieden18%5.565.0017.8%+0.2 pp
Noah win69%1.451.3068.5%+0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Shirak0.48

Heim share of expected goals 18%

Total expected goals2.66Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 50% · Unter 50%

Noah2.18

Auswärts share of expected goals 82%

Projected score0–2BTTS splitJa 34% · Nein 66%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Shirak

0.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Punkte2

SignalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Noah

2.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punkte11

SignalHeim clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
13%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
69%
2
Points from supplied form
11
0.48
Expected goals
2.18
ShirakNoah
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Shirak signalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Noah signalHeim clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk31% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 18%.

Match questions

Shirak vs Noah FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Auswärtssieg · Projected score 0–2 · 69% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Shirak Gewinn 13%,Unentschieden 18%,Noah Gewinn 69%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.66 · Über 2.5 50% · Current selection Unter