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ARM Armenia Premier League · Round 1 ·

Арарат Ереван vs Sardarapat FC

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–12.57 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев30%
Ничья28%
Победа гостей43%
Market-based forecastПобеда гостейTier B · 43% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда гостей43% selection probability
Projected score1–1Арарат ЕреванSardarapat FC
Expected goals2.57Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше53% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа53% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
30% / 28% / 43%Исход матчаПобеда гостей43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.6%)Двойной шанс1272.4%1.38
Больше 47% · Меньше 53%Goals 2.5Меньше53%1.89
Да 53% · Нет 47%Обе забьютДа53%1.89
2.57 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
8.5 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin9.9%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimНет
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Арарат Ереван win30%3.333.2528%
Ничья28%3.573.3027.6%
Sardarapat FC win43%2.332.0544.4%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Арарат Ереван1.22

Хозяева share of expected goals 47.5%

Total expected goals2.57Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 47% · Меньше 53%

Sardarapat FC1.35

Гости share of expected goals 52.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 53% · Нет 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Арарат Ереван

0.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Баллы3

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Sardarapat FC

3.00pts / match
Сыграно1Wins1Drawn0Losses0Баллы3

SignalХозяева failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
30%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
43%
3
Points from supplied form
3
1.22
Expected goals
1.35
Арарат ЕреванSardarapat FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Арарат Ереван signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sardarapat FC signalХозяева failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Арарат Ереван vs Sardarapat FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа гостей · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Арарат Ереван выигрыш 30%,Ничья 28%,Sardarapat FC выигрыш 43%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.57 · ТБ 2.5 47% · Current selection Меньше