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WAL Pays de Galles - Championship South · Match ·

Baglan Dragons vs Pure Swansea

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–13.04 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile39%
Nul24%
Victoire à l’extérieur37%
Market-based forecastVictoire à domicileTier B · 39% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile39% selection probability
Projected score2–1Baglan DragonsPure Swansea
Expected goals3.04Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de59% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui61% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
39% / 24% / 37%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.2%)Double chance1275.8%1.32
Plus de 59% · Moins de 41%Goals 2.5Plus de59%1.69
Oui 61% · Non 39%Les deux équipes marquentOui61%1.64
3.04 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
10.0 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.6%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimAucun
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Baglan Dragons win39%2.562.3538.1%
Nul24%4.173.7024.2%
Pure Swansea win37%2.702.3837.7%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Baglan Dragons1.55

Domicile share of expected goals 51%

Total expected goals3.04Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 59% · Moins de 41%

Pure Swansea1.49

Extérieur share of expected goals 49%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 61% · Non 39%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Baglan Dragons

0.60pts / match
Joués5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Points3

SignalDomicile matches under 2.5: 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Pure Swansea

3.00pts / match
Joués1Wins1Drawn0Losses0Points3

SignalDomicile clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Gagné probability excluding draw
37%
3
Points from supplied form
3
1.55
Expected goals
1.49
Baglan DragonsPure Swansea
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Baglan Dragons signalDomicile matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Pure Swansea signalDomicile clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Baglan Dragons vs Pure Swansea FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Baglan Dragons victoire 39%,Nul 24%,Pure Swansea victoire 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.04 · Plus de 2.5 59% · Current selection Plus de