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WAL Wales - Championship South · Kamp ·

Baglan Dragons vs Pure Swansea

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–13.04 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr39%
Uafgjort24%
Udesejr37%
Market-based forecastHjemmesejrTier B · 39% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr39% selection probability
Projected score2–1Baglan DragonsPure Swansea
Expected goals3.04Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over59% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerJa61% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
39% / 24% / 37%KampresultatHjemmesejr39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.2%)Dobbeltchance1275.8%1.32
Over 59% · Under 41%Goals 2.5Over59%1.69
Ja 61% · Nej 39%Begge hold scorerJa61%1.64
3.04 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
10.0 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.6%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimIngen
OutcomePrognoseFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Baglan Dragons win39%2.562.3538.1%
Uafgjort24%4.173.7024.2%
Pure Swansea win37%2.702.3837.7%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Baglan Dragons1.55

Hjemme share of expected goals 51%

Total expected goals3.04Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 59% · Under 41%

Pure Swansea1.49

Ude share of expected goals 49%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 61% · Nej 39%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Baglan Dragons

0.60pts / match
Spillet5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Point3

SignalHjemme matches under 2.5: 4/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Pure Swansea

3.00pts / match
Spillet1Wins1Drawn0Losses0Point3

SignalHjemme clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Vundet probability excluding draw
37%
3
Points from supplied form
3
1.55
Expected goals
1.49
Baglan DragonsPure Swansea
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Baglan Dragons signalHjemme matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Pure Swansea signalHjemme clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Baglan Dragons vs Pure Swansea FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 2–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Baglan Dragons vundet 39%,Uafgjort 24%,Pure Swansea vundet 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.04 · Over 2.5 59% · Current selection Over