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WAL Wales - Championship South · Wedstrijd ·

Baglan Dragons vs Pure Swansea

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–13.04 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst39%
Gelijkspel24%
Uitwinst37%
Market-based forecastThuiswinstTier B · 39% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst39% selection probability
Projected score2–1Baglan DragonsPure Swansea
Expected goals3.04Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Boven59% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa61% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
39% / 24% / 37%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.2%)Dubbele Kans1275.8%1.32
Boven 59% · Onder 41%Goals 2.5Boven59%1.69
Ja 61% · Nee 39%Beide teams scorenJa61%1.64
3.04 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
10.0 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.6%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Baglan Dragons win39%2.562.3538.1%
Gelijkspel24%4.173.7024.2%
Pure Swansea win37%2.702.3837.7%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Baglan Dragons1.55

Thuis share of expected goals 51%

Total expected goals3.04Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 59% · Onder 41%

Pure Swansea1.49

Uit share of expected goals 49%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 61% · Nee 39%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Baglan Dragons

0.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Punten3

SignalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Pure Swansea

3.00pts / match
Gespeeld1Wins1Drawn0Losses0Punten3

SignalThuis clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
37%
3
Points from supplied form
3
1.55
Expected goals
1.49
Baglan DragonsPure Swansea
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Baglan Dragons signalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Pure Swansea signalThuis clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Baglan Dragons vs Pure Swansea FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Baglan Dragons gewonnen 39%,Gelijkspel 24%,Pure Swansea gewonnen 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.04 · Boven 2.5 59% · Current selection Boven