Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
39% / 24% / 37%Match resultHome win39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.2%)Double chance1275.8%1.32
Over 59% · Under 41%Goals 2.5Over59%1.69
Yes 61% · No 39%Both teams scoreYes61%1.64
3.04 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
10.0 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Price comparison
Reference market used for this forecast
This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.
Displayed margin11.6%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Baglan Dragons win39%2.562.3538.1%—
Draw24%4.173.7024.2%—
Pure Swansea win37%2.702.3837.7%—
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 51%
Total expected goals3.04Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 59% · Under 41%
Away share of expected goals 49%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 61% · No 39%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
0.60pts / matchBaglan Dragons
DDLLD
Played5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Points3
SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
3.00pts / matchPure Swansea
W
Played1Wins1Drawn0Losses0Points3
SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
39%
Win probability excluding draw
37%3
Points from supplied form
31.55
Expected goals
1.49Baglan DragonsPure Swansea
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Market-led fallback leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 24%.
Match questions
Baglan Dragons vs Pure Swansea FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 39% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Baglan Dragons win 39%，Draw 24%，Pure Swansea win 37%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.04 · Over 2.5 59% · Current selection Over。