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DEU Allemagne - 3.Liga · Round 1 ·

Alemannia Aachen vs Verl

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–23.46 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile37%
Nul26%
Victoire à l’extérieur37%
Full model forecastVictoire à l’extérieurTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à l’extérieur37% selection probability
Projected score2–2Alemannia AachenVerl
Expected goals3.46Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de67% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui68% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
37% / 26% / 37%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.2%)Double chance1273.8%1.36
Plus de 67% · Moins de 33%Goals 2.5Plus de67%1.49
Oui 68% · Non 32%Les deux équipes marquentOui68%1.47
3.46 total expected goalsScore exact2–2
10.1 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Non snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCote juste
Alemannia Aachen win37%2.70
Nul26%3.85
Verl win37%2.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Alemannia Aachen1.72

Domicile share of expected goals 49.7%

Total expected goals3.46Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 67% · Moins de 33%

Verl1.74

Extérieur share of expected goals 50.3%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitOui 68% · Non 32%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Alemannia Aachen

2.00pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Verl

1.20pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Gagné probability excluding draw
37%
10
Points from supplied form
6
1.72
Expected goals
1.74
Alemannia AachenVerl
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Alemannia Aachen signalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Verl signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Alemannia Aachen vs Verl FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 2–2 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Alemannia Aachen victoire 37%,Nul 26%,Verl victoire 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.46 · Plus de 2.5 67% · Current selection Plus de