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DEU Alemania - 3. Liga · Round 1 ·

Alemannia Aachen vs Verl

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score2–23.46 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local37%
Empate26%
Victoria visitante37%
Full model forecastVictoria visitanteTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria visitante37% selection probability
Projected score2–2Alemannia AachenVerl
Expected goals3.46Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Más de67% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan68% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Más de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
37% / 26% / 37%Resultado del partidoVictoria visitante37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.2%)Doble Oportunidad1273.8%1.36
Más de 67% · Menos de 33%Goals 2.5Más de67%1.49
Sí 68% · No 32%Ambos equipos marcan68%1.47
3.46 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–2
10.1 expected match cornersCórnersMás de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCuotas justas
Alemannia Aachen win37%2.70
Empate26%3.85
Verl win37%2.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Alemannia Aachen1.72

Local share of expected goals 49.7%

Total expected goals3.46Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Más de 67% · Menos de 33%

Verl1.74

Visitante share of expected goals 50.3%

Projected score2–2BTTS split 68% · No 32%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Alemannia Aachen

2.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puntos10

SignalLocal unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Verl

1.20pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Puntos6

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Ganado probability excluding draw
37%
10
Points from supplied form
6
1.72
Expected goals
1.74
Alemannia AachenVerl
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Alemannia Aachen signalLocal unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Verl signalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Alemannia Aachen vs Verl FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria visitante · Projected score 2–2 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Alemannia Aachen ganada 37%,Empate 26%,Verl ganada 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.46 · Más de 2.5 67% · Current selection Más de