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DEU Γερμανία - 3.Liga · Round 1 ·

Αλεμάνια Άαχεν vs Βερλ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score2–23.46 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου37%
Ισοπαλία26%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου37%
Full model forecastΝίκη φιλοξενούμενουTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη φιλοξενούμενου37% selection probability
Projected score2–2Αλεμάνια ΆαχενΒερλ
Expected goals3.46Άνοιγμα match profile
Goals 2.5Άνω67% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι68% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Άνω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
37% / 26% / 37%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη φιλοξενούμενου37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.2%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1273.8%1.36
Άνω 67% · Κάτω 33%Goals 2.5Άνω67%1.49
Ναι 68% · Όχι 32%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι68%1.47
3.46 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ2–2
10.1 expected match cornersΚόρνερΆνω 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Όχι snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityΔίκαιη απόδοση
Αλεμάνια Άαχεν win37%2.70
Ισοπαλία26%3.85
Βερλ win37%2.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Αλεμάνια Άαχεν1.72

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 49.7%

Total expected goals3.46Άνοιγμα

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 67% · Κάτω 33%

Βερλ1.74

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 50.3%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitΝαι 68% · Όχι 32%Match profileΆνοιγμα
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Αλεμάνια Άαχεν

2.00pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Πόντοι10

SignalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 4/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Βερλ

1.20pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Πόντοι6

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
37%
10
Points from supplied form
6
1.72
Expected goals
1.74
Αλεμάνια ΆαχενΒερλ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Αλεμάνια Άαχεν signalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Βερλ signalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Αλεμάνια Άαχεν vs Βερλ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου · Projected score 2–2 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Αλεμάνια Άαχεν νίκη 37%,Ισοπαλία 26%,Βερλ νίκη 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.46 · Άνω 2.5 67% · Current selection Άνω