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DEU Германия - 3-я лига · Round 1 ·

Алемания Ахен vs Ферль

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–23.46 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев37%
Ничья26%
Победа гостей37%
Full model forecastПобеда гостейTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда гостей37% selection probability
Projected score2–2Алемания АхенФерль
Expected goals3.46Открытие match profile
Goals 2.5Больше67% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа68% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
37% / 26% / 37%Исход матчаПобеда гостей37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.2%)Двойной шанс1273.8%1.36
Больше 67% · Меньше 33%Goals 2.5Больше67%1.49
Да 68% · Нет 32%Обе забьютДа68%1.47
3.46 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–2
10.1 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
Алемания Ахен win37%2.70
Ничья26%3.85
Ферль win37%2.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Алемания Ахен1.72

Хозяева share of expected goals 49.7%

Total expected goals3.46Открытие

Dedicated goals model: Больше 67% · Меньше 33%

Ферль1.74

Гости share of expected goals 50.3%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitДа 68% · Нет 32%Match profileОткрытие
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Алемания Ахен

2.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Баллы10

SignalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Ферль

1.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Баллы6

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
37%
10
Points from supplied form
6
1.72
Expected goals
1.74
Алемания АхенФерль
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Алемания Ахен signalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ферль signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Алемания Ахен vs Ферль FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа гостей · Projected score 2–2 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Алемания Ахен выигрыш 37%,Ничья 26%,Ферль выигрыш 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.46 · ТБ 2.5 67% · Current selection Больше