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DEU Германия - 3-та Лига · Round 1 ·

Алемания Аахен vs Верл

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score2–23.46 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина37%
Равен26%
Победа за госта37%
Full model forecastПобеда за гостаTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за госта37% selection probability
Projected score2–2Алемания АахенВерл
Expected goals3.46Откриване match profile
Goals 2.5Над67% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа68% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Над 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
37% / 26% / 37%Резултат от мачаПобеда за госта37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.2%)Двоен шанс1273.8%1.36
Над 67% · Под 33%Goals 2.5Над67%1.49
Да 68% · Не 32%И двата отбора да отбележатДа68%1.47
3.46 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–2
10.1 expected match cornersКорнериНад 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Не snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедлив коефициент
Алемания Аахен win37%2.70
Равен26%3.85
Верл win37%2.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Алемания Аахен1.72

Домакин share of expected goals 49.7%

Total expected goals3.46Откриване

Dedicated goals model: Над 67% · Под 33%

Верл1.74

Гост share of expected goals 50.3%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitДа 68% · Не 32%Match profileОткриване
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Алемания Аахен

2.00pts / match
Изиграни5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Точки10

SignalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Верл

1.20pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Точки6

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
37%
10
Points from supplied form
6
1.72
Expected goals
1.74
Алемания АахенВерл
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Алемания Аахен signalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Верл signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Алемания Аахен vs Верл FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за госта · Projected score 2–2 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Алемания Аахен печеливш 37%,Равен 26%,Верл печеливш 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.46 · Над 2.5 67% · Current selection Над