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SVN Slovénie - Prva Liga · Round 1 ·

NK Celje vs Olimpija Ljubljana

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–12.67 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile47%
Nul25%
Victoire à l’extérieur28%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile47% selection probability
Projected score2–1NK CeljeOlimpija Ljubljana
Expected goals2.67Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de50% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon52% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
47% / 25% / 28%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.4%)Double chance1274.6%1.34
Plus de 50% · Moins de 50%Goals 2.5Moins de50%2.00
Oui 48% · Non 52%Les deux équipes marquentNon52%1.92
2.67 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
8.8 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.0%Largest probability gapNK Celje winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
NK Celje win47%2.132.0045.9%+1.1 pp
Nul25%4.003.6025.5%-0.5 pp
Olimpija Ljubljana win28%3.573.2028.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

NK Celje1.81

Domicile share of expected goals 67.8%

Total expected goals2.67Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 50% · Moins de 50%

Olimpija Ljubljana0.86

Extérieur share of expected goals 32.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 48% · Non 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

NK Celje

0.80pts / match
Joués5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Points4

SignalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Olimpija Ljubljana

0.60pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Gagné probability excluding draw
28%
4
Points from supplied form
3
1.81
Expected goals
0.86
NK CeljeOlimpija Ljubljana
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01NK Celje signalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Olimpija Ljubljana signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

NK Celje vs Olimpija Ljubljana FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

NK Celje victoire 47%,Nul 25%,Olimpija Ljubljana victoire 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.67 · Plus de 2.5 50% · Current selection Moins de