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SVN Slovinsko - Prva Liga · Round 1 ·

NK Celje vs Olimpija Ljubljana

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domáci form
Projected score2–12.67 expected goals
Hostia form
Výhra domácich47%
Remíza25%
Výhra hostí28%
Full model forecastVýhra domácichTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácich47% selection probability
Projected score2–1NK CeljeOlimpija Ljubljana
Expected goals2.67Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Menej50% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúNie52% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Menej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
47% / 25% / 28%Výsledok zápasuVýhra domácich47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.4%)Dvojitá šanca1274.6%1.34
Viac 50% · Menej 50%Goals 2.5Menej50%2.00
Áno 48% · Nie 52%Oba tímy skórujúNie52%1.92
2.67 total expected goalsPresné skóre2–1
8.8 expected match cornersRohyMenej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.0%Largest probability gapNK Celje winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomePredpoveďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
NK Celje win47%2.132.0045.9%+1.1 pp
Remíza25%4.003.6025.5%-0.5 pp
Olimpija Ljubljana win28%3.573.2028.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

NK Celje1.81

Domáci share of expected goals 67.8%

Total expected goals2.67Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Viac 50% · Menej 50%

Olimpija Ljubljana0.86

Hostia share of expected goals 32.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitÁno 48% · Nie 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

NK Celje

0.80pts / match
Odohrané5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Body4

SignalDomáci unbeaten 4/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

Olimpija Ljubljana

0.60pts / match
Odohrané5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Body3

SignalDomáci matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Výhra probability excluding draw
28%
4
Points from supplied form
3
1.81
Expected goals
0.86
NK CeljeOlimpija Ljubljana
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01NK Celje signalDomáci unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Olimpija Ljubljana signalDomáci matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

NK Celje vs Olimpija Ljubljana FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácich · Projected score 2–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

NK Celje výhra 47%,Remíza 25%,Olimpija Ljubljana výhra 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.67 · Viac 2.5 50% · Current selection Menej