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SVN Slovenia - Prva Liga · Round 1 ·

NK Celje vs Olimpija Ljubljana

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score2–12.67 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa47%
Pareggio25%
Vittoria ospite28%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa47% selection probability
Projected score2–1NK CeljeOlimpija Ljubljana
Expected goals2.67Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto50% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo52% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
47% / 25% / 28%Esito partitaVittoria casa47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.4%)Doppia Chance1274.6%1.34
Sopra 50% · Sotto 50%Goals 2.5Sotto50%2.00
Sì 48% · No 52%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo52%1.92
2.67 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1
8.8 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.0%Largest probability gapNK Celje winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
NK Celje win47%2.132.0045.9%+1.1 pp
Pareggio25%4.003.6025.5%-0.5 pp
Olimpija Ljubljana win28%3.573.2028.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

NK Celje1.81

Casa share of expected goals 67.8%

Total expected goals2.67Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 50% · Sotto 50%

Olimpija Ljubljana0.86

Trasferta share of expected goals 32.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 48% · No 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

NK Celje

0.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Punti4

SignalCasa unbeaten 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Olimpija Ljubljana

0.60pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punti3

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Vinta probability excluding draw
28%
4
Points from supplied form
3
1.81
Expected goals
0.86
NK CeljeOlimpija Ljubljana
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01NK Celje signalCasa unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Olimpija Ljubljana signalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

NK Celje vs Olimpija Ljubljana FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

NK Celje vinta 47%,Pareggio 25%,Olimpija Ljubljana vinta 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.67 · Sopra 2.5 50% · Current selection Sotto