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SVN Szlovénia - Prva Liga · Round 1 ·

NK Celje vs Olimpija Ljubljana

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hazai form
Projected score2–12.67 expected goals
Vendég form
Hazai győzelem47%
Döntetlen25%
Vendég győzelem28%
Full model forecastHazai győzelemTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHazai győzelem47% selection probability
Projected score2–1NK CeljeOlimpija Ljubljana
Expected goals2.67Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Alatt50% for the selected side
Mindkét csapat szerez góltNem52% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Alatt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVálasztásValószínűségValós odds
47% / 25% / 28%Mérkőzés eredményeHazai győzelem47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.4%)Dupla esély1274.6%1.34
Felett 50% · Alatt 50%Goals 2.5Alatt50%2.00
Igen 48% · Nem 52%Mindkét csapat szerez góltNem52%1.92
2.67 total expected goalsPontos eredmény2–1
8.8 expected match cornersSzögletekAlatt 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.0%Largest probability gapNK Celje winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomeElőrejelzésValós oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
NK Celje win47%2.132.0045.9%+1.1 pp
Döntetlen25%4.003.6025.5%-0.5 pp
Olimpija Ljubljana win28%3.573.2028.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

NK Celje1.81

Hazai share of expected goals 67.8%

Total expected goals2.67Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Felett 50% · Alatt 50%

Olimpija Ljubljana0.86

Vendég share of expected goals 32.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitIgen 48% · Nem 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hazai-context · form sequence

NK Celje

0.80pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Pontok4

SignalHazai unbeaten 4/5

Vendég-context · form sequence

Olimpija Ljubljana

0.60pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Pontok3

SignalHazai matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Nyert probability excluding draw
28%
4
Points from supplied form
3
1.81
Expected goals
0.86
NK CeljeOlimpija Ljubljana
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01NK Celje signalHazai unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Olimpija Ljubljana signalHazai matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Döntetlen probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

NK Celje vs Olimpija Ljubljana FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hazai győzelem · Projected score 2–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

NK Celje nyer 47%,Döntetlen 25%,Olimpija Ljubljana nyer 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.67 · 2.5 felett 50% · Current selection Alatt