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SVN Słowenia - Prva Liga · Round 1 ·

NK Celje vs Olimpija Ljubljana

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score2–12.67 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy47%
Remis25%
Wygrana gości28%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy47% selection probability
Projected score2–1NK CeljeOlimpija Ljubljana
Expected goals2.67Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Poniżej50% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląNie52% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
47% / 25% / 28%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.4%)Podwójna szansa1274.6%1.34
Powyżej 50% · Poniżej 50%Goals 2.5Poniżej50%2.00
Tak 48% · Nie 52%Obie drużyny strzeląNie52%1.92
2.67 total expected goalsDokładny wynik2–1
8.8 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.0%Largest probability gapNK Celje winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
NK Celje win47%2.132.0045.9%+1.1 pp
Remis25%4.003.6025.5%-0.5 pp
Olimpija Ljubljana win28%3.573.2028.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

NK Celje1.81

Gospodarze share of expected goals 67.8%

Total expected goals2.67Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 50% · Poniżej 50%

Olimpija Ljubljana0.86

Goście share of expected goals 32.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitTak 48% · Nie 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

NK Celje

0.80pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Punkty4

SignalGospodarze unbeaten 4/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Olimpija Ljubljana

0.60pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punkty3

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
28%
4
Points from supplied form
3
1.81
Expected goals
0.86
NK CeljeOlimpija Ljubljana
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01NK Celje signalGospodarze unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Olimpija Ljubljana signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

NK Celje vs Olimpija Ljubljana FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 2–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

NK Celje wygrana 47%,Remis 25%,Olimpija Ljubljana wygrana 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.67 · Powyżej 2.5 50% · Current selection Poniżej