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SVN Slovenia - Prva Liga · Partita ·

Aluminij Kidricevo vs NK Nafta 1903

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score2–12.95 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa44%
Pareggio24%
Vittoria ospite31%
Baseline forecastVittoria casaTier C · 44% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa44% selection probability
Projected score2–1Aluminij KidricevoNK Nafta 1903
Expected goals2.95Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra56% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano59% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
44% / 24% / 31%Esito partitaVittoria casa44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.3%)Doppia Chance1275.7%1.32
Sopra 56% · Sotto 44%Goals 2.5Sopra56%1.79
Sì 59% · No 41%Entrambe le squadre segnano59%1.69
2.95 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1
9.2 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Aluminij Kidricevo win44%2.27
Pareggio24%4.17
NK Nafta 1903 win31%3.23

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Aluminij Kidricevo1.62

Casa share of expected goals 54.9%

Total expected goals2.95Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 56% · Sotto 44%

NK Nafta 19031.33

Trasferta share of expected goals 45.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 59% · No 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Aluminij Kidricevo

0.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Punti2

SignalCasa failed to score: 3/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

NK Nafta 1903

1.20pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punti6

SignalTrasferta matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Vinta probability excluding draw
31%
2
Points from supplied form
6
1.62
Expected goals
1.33
Aluminij KidricevoNK Nafta 1903
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Aluminij Kidricevo signalCasa failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02NK Nafta 1903 signalTrasferta matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Aluminij Kidricevo vs NK Nafta 1903 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Aluminij Kidricevo vinta 44%,Pareggio 24%,NK Nafta 1903 vinta 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.95 · Sopra 2.5 56% · Current selection Sopra