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SVN Eslovenia - 1ª División · Partido ·

Aluminij Kidricevo vs NK Nafta 1903

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score2–12.95 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local44%
Empate24%
Victoria visitante31%
Baseline forecastVictoria localTier C · 44% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local44% selection probability
Projected score2–1Aluminij KidricevoNK Nafta 1903
Expected goals2.95Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Más de56% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan59% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
44% / 24% / 31%Resultado del partidoVictoria local44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.3%)Doble Oportunidad1275.7%1.32
Más de 56% · Menos de 44%Goals 2.5Más de56%1.79
Sí 59% · No 41%Ambos equipos marcan59%1.69
2.95 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–1
9.2 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCuotas justas
Aluminij Kidricevo win44%2.27
Empate24%4.17
NK Nafta 1903 win31%3.23

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Aluminij Kidricevo1.62

Local share of expected goals 54.9%

Total expected goals2.95Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 56% · Menos de 44%

NK Nafta 19031.33

Visitante share of expected goals 45.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 59% · No 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Aluminij Kidricevo

0.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Puntos2

SignalLocal failed to score: 3/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

NK Nafta 1903

1.20pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Puntos6

SignalVisitante matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Ganado probability excluding draw
31%
2
Points from supplied form
6
1.62
Expected goals
1.33
Aluminij KidricevoNK Nafta 1903
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Aluminij Kidricevo signalLocal failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02NK Nafta 1903 signalVisitante matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Aluminij Kidricevo vs NK Nafta 1903 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 2–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Aluminij Kidricevo ganada 44%,Empate 24%,NK Nafta 1903 ganada 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.95 · Más de 2.5 56% · Current selection Más de