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SVN Словения - 1-я лига · Матч ·

Алюминий Кидричево vs НК Нафта 1903

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–12.95 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев44%
Ничья24%
Победа гостей31%
Baseline forecastПобеда хозяевTier C · 44% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев44% selection probability
Projected score2–1Алюминий КидричевоНК Нафта 1903
Expected goals2.95Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Больше56% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа59% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
44% / 24% / 31%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.3%)Двойной шанс1275.7%1.32
Больше 56% · Меньше 44%Goals 2.5Больше56%1.79
Да 59% · Нет 41%Обе забьютДа59%1.69
2.95 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
9.2 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
Алюминий Кидричево win44%2.27
Ничья24%4.17
НК Нафта 1903 win31%3.23

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Алюминий Кидричево1.62

Хозяева share of expected goals 54.9%

Total expected goals2.95Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 56% · Меньше 44%

НК Нафта 19031.33

Гости share of expected goals 45.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 59% · Нет 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Алюминий Кидричево

0.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Баллы2

SignalХозяева failed to score: 3/5

Гости-context · form sequence

НК Нафта 1903

1.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Баллы6

SignalГости matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
31%
2
Points from supplied form
6
1.62
Expected goals
1.33
Алюминий КидричевоНК Нафта 1903
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Алюминий Кидричево signalХозяева failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02НК Нафта 1903 signalГости matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Алюминий Кидричево vs НК Нафта 1903 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Алюминий Кидричево выигрыш 44%,Ничья 24%,НК Нафта 1903 выигрыш 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.95 · ТБ 2.5 56% · Current selection Больше