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WAL Pays de Galles - Premier League · Final ·

Holywell Town vs Connah's Quay

Prediction review

Domicile form
Final score1–3Pronostic 1–2
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile14%
Nul18%
Victoire à l’extérieur69%
Market-based forecastVictoire à l’extérieurTier B · 69% selection probability
Prediction Gagné
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à l’extérieur69% selection probability
Projected score1–2Holywell TownConnah's Quay
Expected goals2.86Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de56% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
14% / 18% / 69%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur69%1.45
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Holywell Town win (13.9%)Double chanceX286.1%1.16
Plus de 56% · Moins de 44%Goals 2.5Plus de56%1.79
Oui 55% · Non 45%Les deux équipes marquentOui55%1.82
2.86 total expected goalsScore exact1–2
9.2 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.5%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimAucun
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Holywell Town win14%7.147.5012%
Nul18%5.565.5016.3%
Connah's Quay win69%1.451.2571.7%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Holywell Town0.98

Domicile share of expected goals 34.3%

Total expected goals2.86Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 56% · Moins de 44%

Connah's Quay1.88

Extérieur share of expected goals 65.7%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitOui 55% · Non 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Holywell Town

1.40pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Connah's Quay

1.00pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalDomicile clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
14%
Gagné probability excluding draw
69%
7
Points from supplied form
5
0.98
Expected goals
1.88
Holywell TownConnah's Quay
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Holywell Town signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Connah's Quay signalDomicile clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk31% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 18%.

Match questions

Holywell Town vs Connah's Quay FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 1–2 · 69% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Holywell Town victoire 14%,Nul 18%,Connah's Quay victoire 69%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.86 · Plus de 2.5 56% · Current selection Plus de