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WAL ウェールズ プレミアリーグ · 試合 ·

ホリウェルタウン vs コナーズキー

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–22.86 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利14%
引き分け18%
アウェイ勝利69%
Market-based forecastアウェイ勝利Tier B · 69% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callアウェイ勝利69% selection probability
Projected score1–2ホリウェルタウンコナーズキー
Expected goals2.86Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー56% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
14% / 18% / 69%試合結果アウェイ勝利69%1.45
Derived from 1X2 · excludes ホリウェルタウン win (13.9%)ダブルチャンスX286.1%1.16
オーバー 56% · アンダー 44%Goals 2.5オーバー56%1.79
はい 55% · いいえ 45%両チーム得点はい55%1.82
2.86 total expected goals正確なスコア1–2
9.2 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.5%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimなし
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
ホリウェルタウン win14%7.147.5012%
引き分け18%5.565.5016.3%
コナーズキー win69%1.451.2571.7%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ホリウェルタウン0.98

ホーム share of expected goals 34.3%

Total expected goals2.86Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 56% · アンダー 44%

コナーズキー1.88

アウェイ share of expected goals 65.7%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitはい 55% · いいえ 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

ホリウェルタウン

1.40pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn1Losses2ポイント7

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

コナーズキー

1.00pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn2Losses2ポイント5

Signalホーム clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
14%
勝ち probability excluding draw
69%
7
Points from supplied form
5
0.98
Expected goals
1.88
ホリウェルタウンコナーズキー
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ホリウェルタウン signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02コナーズキー signalホーム clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk31% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 18%.

Match questions

ホリウェルタウン vs コナーズキー FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: アウェイ勝利 · Projected score 1–2 · 69% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ホリウェルタウン 勝ち 14%,引き分け 18%,コナーズキー 勝ち 69%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.86 · オーバー 2.5 56% · Current selection オーバー