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WAL Gales - Premier League · Final ·

Holywell Town F.C. vs Connah's Quay

Prediction review

Local form
Final score1–3Pronóstico 1–2
Visitante form
Victoria local14%
Empate18%
Victoria visitante69%
Market-based forecastVictoria visitanteTier B · 69% selection probability
Prediction Acertado
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria visitante69% selection probability
Projected score1–2Holywell Town F.C.Connah's Quay
Expected goals2.86Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Más de56% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
14% / 18% / 69%Resultado del partidoVictoria visitante69%1.45
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Holywell Town F.C. win (13.9%)Doble OportunidadX286.1%1.16
Más de 56% · Menos de 44%Goals 2.5Más de56%1.79
Sí 55% · No 45%Ambos equipos marcan55%1.82
2.86 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–2
9.2 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.5%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNinguno
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Holywell Town F.C. win14%7.147.5012%
Empate18%5.565.5016.3%
Connah's Quay win69%1.451.2571.7%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Holywell Town F.C.0.98

Local share of expected goals 34.3%

Total expected goals2.86Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 56% · Menos de 44%

Connah's Quay1.88

Visitante share of expected goals 65.7%

Projected score1–2BTTS split 55% · No 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Holywell Town F.C.

1.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puntos7

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Connah's Quay

1.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Puntos5

SignalLocal clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
14%
Ganado probability excluding draw
69%
7
Points from supplied form
5
0.98
Expected goals
1.88
Holywell Town F.C.Connah's Quay
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Holywell Town F.C. signalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Connah's Quay signalLocal clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk31% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 18%.

Match questions

Holywell Town F.C. vs Connah's Quay FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria visitante · Projected score 1–2 · 69% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Holywell Town F.C. ganada 14%,Empate 18%,Connah's Quay ganada 69%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.86 · Más de 2.5 56% · Current selection Más de